Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Nepal
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3126/nppr.v1i1.43419Keywords:
economic growth, remittances, human capital, export, money supply, governanceAbstract
Remittances have become a significant source of foreign exchange as well as funds for small business start-ups and expansion and consumption spending of recipient households in developing countries. Accordingly, it is expected that remittances would contribute to economic development. Notwithstanding, there is yet no consensus on the impact of remittances on economic growth. This paper focuses on the impact of remittances on economic growth in Nepal, a small Asian country where remittances were 31% of GDP in 2016. Using data from the World Bank and other sources, the study found that remittances does not significantly impact economic growth. The study also found that democratic form of governance as measured by a dummy variable had a significant and positive impact on economic growth alongside capital formation and exports. Based on additional tests using cointegration and regression analysis, the paper found that there is a possibility that remittances negatively impact economic growth in the long run.
References
Acemoglu, D. Naidu, S. , Restrepo, P., and Robinson, J.A. (2019). Democracy Does Cause Growth. Journal of Political Economy 127:1, 47-100. doi:10.1086/700936
Adams, R. and John P. (2005). Do International Migration and Remittances Reduce Poverty in Developing Countries?. World Development. 33:1645–69.doi:10.1016/j. worlddev.2005.05.004
Ahmad, J., & Harnhirun, A. (1996). Cointegration and causality between exports and economic growth: Evidence from ASEAN countries. Canadian Journal of Economics. 29, 413-416
Cooray, A. 2012. The impact of migrant remittances on economic growth: evidence from South Asia Review of International Economics 20(5), pp. 985-998.
Cosic, D.; Bajracharya, R. D.; Dahal, S. and Rana, S. S. J.B..(2016). Nepal development update : remittances at risk (English). Nepal Development Update Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/564551468198011442/Nepaldevelopment- update-remittances-at-risk
Cox E., A and Ureta, M. (2003). International Migration, Remittances, and Schooling: Evidence from El Salvador Journal of Development Economics 72:429–61.
Dahal, P. (2014). The impact of remittances on economic growth in Nepal: an analysis of a significant basis of development. Asia Pacific Journal of Public Administration. 36. 261282. doi: 10.1080/23276665.2014.975908
Fayissa, B., and Christian,N. (2010). The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth and Development in Africa. The American Economist. 55(2), 92–103, doi:10.1177/056943451005500210
Furuoka, F., and Munir, Q. (2010). Does export dependency hurt economic development? Empirical evidence from Singapore. Economics Bulletin. 30(1), 204-218.
Khan Z. S., and Islam, S. (2013). The Effects of Remittances on Inflation: Evidence from Bangladesh. Journal of Economics and Business Research. 2, 198208
Kim, D. H., and Lin, S. C. (2009). Trade and growth at different stages of economic development. Journal of Development Studies. 45(8), 1211–1224
Lee, C. H., and Huang, B. N. (2002). The relationship between exports and economic growth in East Asian countries: A multivariate threshold autoregressive approach. Journal of Economic Development. 27(2), 45–68.
Lopez, H., Luis, M., and Bussolo,M. (2007). Remittances and the Real Exchange Rate. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, WPS 4213, April.
Mankiw, N.G., Romer, D., and Weil, D. (1992) A contribution to the empirics of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 107 :407-437.
Matuzeviciute, K., and Butkus, M. (2016). Remittances, Development Level, and Long-Run Economic Growth. Economies. 4. 28. doi: 10.3390/economies4040028
Meyer, D., and Shera, A. (2017). The impact of remittances on economic growth: An econometric model. EconomiA, 18(2),147-1. doi: 10.1016/j.econ.2016.06.001
National Planning Commission. (2016). National Planning Commission SDG Report 2016, Sustainable Developmental Goals Status and Roadmap 2016-2030 Report. Government of Nepal National Planning Commission Report. https://www.npc.gov.np/images/category/SDG_Status_and_Roadmap_(2016-2030).pdf
OEC, Exports Visualization. Nepal. www.atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/npl. Accessed 10th March 2019
Pant, B., (2008). Mobilizing Remittances for Productive Use: A Policy Oriented Approach. Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department Working Paper 4, Nepal.
Ratha, D. (2013). Impact of Remittance on Economic growth and Poverty Reduction. Migration Policy Institute.No.8. www.migrationpolicy.org/research/impact-remittances-economicgrowth- and-poverty-reduction
Romer P. (1986). Increasing returns and long run growth. Journal of Political Economy. 94, 1002- 1037.
Romer P. (1990). EndogenousTechnological Change. Journal of Political Economy. 98, 71-102
Shrestha, M. (2017). Push and Pull: A Study of International Migration from Nepal. Policy Research Working Paper 7965, World Bank, Washington DC.
Sunam, R.K. and McCarthy, J., (2016). Reconsidering the links between poverty, international labour migration, and agrarian change: critical insights from Nepal. The Journal of Peasant Studies 43:1, 39-63, doi: 10.1080/03066150.2015.1041520
Taylor, E. J. (1999). The New Economics of Labor Migration and the Role of Remittances. International Migration 37:63–86
Uprety, D. (2017). The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Nepal. Journal of Development Innovations. 1. 114-134.
WDI, World Development Indicator data base (World Bank)
Additional Files
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2021 Prasiddha Shakya, George P. Gonpu

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.